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Prediction markets
16 active markets
· category “Science”
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How to trade
Who will win the 2026 Fields Medal?
Jacob Tsimerman
98%
Hong Wang
97%
9 more
$716K
Vol.
Jul 30
science
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
63 trading now
2026 July 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?
1st hottest
82%
3rd hottest
15%
2 more
$100K
Vol.
Jul 31
science
Potential payout
$25
→
$30
42 trading now
Precipitation in Hong Kong in July?
600mm+
61%
550-575mm
22%
8 more
$20K
Vol.
Jul 31
science
Potential payout
$25
→
$41
36 trading now
How many 5.5 or above earthquakes July 20 - July 26?
≤8
19%
Yes
No
9
14%
Yes
No
$8.3K
Vol.
Jul 26
science
Potential payout
$25
→
$132
48 trading now
How many 6.5 or above earthquakes July 20 - July 26?
0
51%
Yes
No
1
34%
Yes
No
$2.4K
Vol.
Jul 26
science
Potential payout
$25
→
$50
31 trading now
Cyclosporiasis cases in U.S. by July 31?
1800+
96%
2000+
95%
4 more
$22K
Vol.
Jul 31
science
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
36 trading now
Screwworm National Emergency declared by...?
December 31
53%
August 30
53%
2 more
$1.4K
Vol.
Jan 1
science
Potential payout
$25
→
$48
37 trading now
Precipitation in NYC in July?
4-5"
64%
5-6"
33%
4 more
$27K
Vol.
Jul 31
science
Potential payout
$25
→
$39
48 trading now
How many Tornadoes in the US in July?
<100
71%
130–159
36%
7 more
$1.7K
Vol.
Aug 1
science
Potential payout
$25
→
$35
40 trading now
Precipitation in Seoul in July?
100mm+
99%
90-100mm
1%
6 more
$13K
Vol.
Jul 31
science
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
46 trading now
July 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)
1.20–1.24ºC
82%
1.15–1.19ºC
10%
4 more
$37K
Vol.
Aug 1
science
Potential payout
$25
→
$30
46 trading now
Precipitation in London in July?
<30mm
85%
40-50mm
7%
5 more
$6.1K
Vol.
Jul 31
science
Potential payout
$25
→
$29
42 trading now
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